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As a result, research has lagged behind although publications focused on scenario planning have risen steadily over the last two decades (Amer, Diam, & Jetter, 2013 Ramirez, Selsky, & van der Heijden, 2010 Varum & Melo, 2010). Scenario planning has grown out of practice.

Keywords: Scenario planning, Scholarship, Scenario planning research. Interpretations of these results are provided, as well as suggestions for advancing scenario planning scholar- ship in the future. Further, of the data-driven research, the vast majority is case study in nature. Generally, over half of the published refereed articles over the last 20 years have been theoretical / conceptual work. The data-driven scholarship is further classified as case study, qualitative research or quantitative research. The analysis reports the literature search criteria, followed by a general division of scenario planning scholarship into theoretical / conceptual work and data-driven inquiry.

This article presents an analysis and categorization of scenario planning scholarship over the last 20 years. Journal of Futures Studies, June 2018, 22(4): 45–60Ī R T I C L E An Analysis and Categorization of Scenario Planning Scholarship from 1995-2016